I’m looking at how age/college experience of NBA Draft picks correlates to NBA success. The independent variable (primary predictor) I’m keying in on is the amount of college games played, in 5 Tiers: <10 , 10-33 , 31 – 60, 61-90 , 91-120+.The dependent variable will be # of NBA games played.
Graphics
- Im think of plotting the player points in a 4 quadrant graph to plot the points data. My pool of players would be players selected in the last 20 years (that may be ambitious), with color coordinating for lottery (1-15), first round, and second round picks.
Key questions:
- What are some other determinants for NBA success?
- PER, career Prass (Points+Rebound+assists) average
- major award winners
- MVP/ROY
- All-NBA team appearances
- Why hasn’t the Brandon Jennings theory caught on?
- Some blue chip HS players like Brandon Jennings, Jeremy Tyler chose to forego college and play overseas for a year before coming to the NBA. Tyler is out the league, and Brandon Jennings is a sixth man for the New York Knicks (his 4th team in 7 years)
Sources:
- Agents
- Players (going to Hawks media day Monday)
- Coaches //and scouts if available
- NBA media members (Woj, Zach Lowe)